LYTS Stock Analysis: LSI Industries | NASDAQ

Electronic Components | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 758m USD | 12M Return: -10% | US50216C1080 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Lighting, Controls, Signage, Displays
Total Rating 32
Safety 82
Buy Signal -0.67
Electronic Components
Industry Rotation: +30.0
Market Cap: 758M
Avg Turnover: 8.33M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility39.2%
VaR 5th Pctl5.73%
VaR vs Median-9.26%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.17
Rel. Str. IBD21.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group31.4
Character TTM
Beta1.174
Beta Downside1.026
Hurst Exponent0.634
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD40.60%
CAGR/Max DD0.28
CAGR/Mean DD0.76
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of LYTS over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.13, "2021-12": 0.15, "2022-03": 0.15, "2022-06": 0.21, "2022-09": 0.25, "2022-12": 0.26, "2023-03": 0.19, "2023-06": 0.3, "2023-09": 0.29, "2023-12": 0.21, "2024-03": 0.21, "2024-06": 0.24, "2024-09": 0.26, "2024-12": 0.26, "2025-03": 0.2, "2025-06": 0.34, "2025-09": 0.31, "2025-12": 0.26, "2026-03": 0.28, "2026-06": 0.18,
EPS CAGR: 4.88%
EPS Trend: 56.9%
Last SUE: -3.16
Qual. Beats: -1
Revenue Revenue of LYTS over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 106.397, 2021-12: 111.143, 2022-03: 110.111, 2022-06: 127.469, 2022-09: 127.069, 2022-12: 128.804, 2023-03: 117.47, 2023-06: 123.636, 2023-09: 123.441, 2023-12: 109.005, 2024-03: 108.186, 2024-06: 129.006, 2024-09: 138.095, 2024-12: 147.734, 2025-03: 132.481, 2025-06: 155.067, 2025-09: 157.249, 2025-12: 150.525, 2026-03: 150.525, 2026-06: 234.621,
Rev. CAGR: 14.24%
Rev. Trend: 93.6%
Last SUE: 2.01
Qual. Beats: 5

Warnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +8.0% 37
Feb -3.6% 19
Mar -7.0% 22
Apr -3.6% 8
May -1.5% 17
Jun -1.6% 16
Jul -1.4% 15
Aug +10.7% 21
Sep +0.8% 0
Oct -2.9% 41
Nov +3.3% 34
Dec +0.4% 13

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: LYTS LSI Industries

LSI Industries Inc. (LYTS) is a Cincinnati-based manufacturer of non-residential lighting and retail display solutions, operating in the United States through two segments: Lighting, which offers indoor and outdoor fixtures alongside controls such as sensors, photocontrols, dimming, and motion detection, and Display Solutions, which produces exterior and interior graphics, digital signage, menu board systems, refrigerated displays, and custom merchandising fixtures. The company serves vertical markets including refueling and convenience stores, parking facilities, quick-service restaurants, retail, grocery and pharmacy, automotive dealerships, sports venues, and warehouses, often bundling its products with project management services such as installation oversight, site surveys, permitting, and content management.

Within the broader electrical components and equipment space, the lighting industry has been transitioning from legacy sources to LED and connected control systems, while visual merchandising and digital signage have become an increasing share of capital spending in fuel retail and quick-service restaurant locations, both of which align directly with LSIs product mix and core end markets.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Refueling and convenience store vertical fuels display segment revenue
  • Lighting margins pressured by raw material and component costs
  • LED efficiency regulations drive commercial lighting demand
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 3.5
Net Income: 18.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.04 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 21.07% < 20% (prev 16.89%; Δ 4.18% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 44.1m > Net Income 18.3m
Net Debt (343.3m) to EBITDA (39.5m): 8.68 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.97 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (33.7m) vs 12m ago 8.84% < -2%
Gross Margin: 25.15% > 18% (prev 24.73%; Δ 0.42% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 113.0% > 50% (prev 144.7%; Δ -31.64% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 6.75 > 6 (EBIT TTM 39.4m / Interest Expense TTM 5.83m)
Altman Z'' 2.72
A: 0.18 (Total Current Assets 295.9m - Total Current Liabilities 149.9m) / Total Assets 829.9m
B: 0.10 (Retained Earnings 82.3m / Total Assets 829.9m)
C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 39.4m / Avg Total Assets 613.1m)
D: 0.77 (Book Value of Equity 360.7m / Total Liabilities 469.2m)
Altman-Z'' = 2.72 = A
Beneish M -2.49
DSRI: 1.25 (Receivables 157.6m/104.3m, Revenue 692.9m/573.4m)
GMI: 0.98 (GM 24.73% / 25.15%)
AQI: 1.33 (AQ_t 0.58 / AQ_t-1 0.43)
SGI: 1.21 (Revenue 692.9m / 573.4m)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 18.3m - CFO 44.1m) / TA 829.9m)
Beneish M = -2.49 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB
What is the price of LYTS shares?

As of September 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 21.09 with a total of 363,251 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.64%, over one month by +2.39%, over three months by -21.11% and over the past year by -10.04%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 20.20 (which is 4.2% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is LYTS a buy, sell or hold?

LSI Industries has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.67. Therefore, it is recommended to buy LYTS.

  • StrongBuy: 2
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the LYTS price?
Analysts Target Price 30 42.2%
LSI Industries (LYTS) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 22 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 758.3m (758.3m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 30.3731
P/E Forward = 19.305
P/S = 1.0999
P/B = 2.1043
P/EG = 0.4012
Revenue TTM = 692.9m USD
EBIT TTM = 39.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 39.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 245.9m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 22.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 357.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 50.8m
Net Debt = 343.3m USD (calculated: Debt 357.5m - CCE 14.2m)
Enterprise Value = 1.10b USD (758.3m + Debt 357.5m - CCE 14.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.75 (Ebit TTM 39.4m / Interest Expense TTM 5.83m)
EV/FCF = 28.24x (Enterprise Value 1.10b / FCF TTM 39.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.54% (FCF TTM 39.0m / Enterprise Value 1.10b)
FCF Margin = 5.63% (FCF TTM 39.0m / Revenue TTM 692.9m)
Net Margin = 2.64% (Net Income TTM 18.3m / Revenue TTM 692.9m)
Gross Margin = 25.15% ((Revenue TTM 692.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 518.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.70% (prev 24.48%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.33 (Enterprise Value 1.10b / Total Assets 829.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.63% (Interest Expense 5.83m / Debt 357.5m)
Taxrate = 30.70% (8.12m / 26.4m)
NOPAT = 27.3m (EBIT 39.4m * (1 - 30.70%))
Current Ratio = 1.97 (Total Current Assets 295.9m / Total Current Liabilities 149.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.99 (Debt 357.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 360.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 8.68 (Net Debt 343.3m / EBITDA 39.5m)
Debt / FCF = 8.80 (Net Debt 343.3m / FCF TTM 39.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 326.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.99% (Net Income 18.3m / Total Assets 829.9m)
RoE = 5.60% (Net Income TTM 18.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 326.9m)
RoCE = 6.87% (EBIT 39.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 326.9m + L.T.Debt 245.9m))
RoIC = 3.97% (NOPAT 27.3m / Invested Capital 688.0m)
WACC = 7.23% (E(758.3m)/V(1.12b) * Re(10.11%) + D(357.5m)/V(1.12b) * Rd(1.63%) * (1-Tc(0.31)))
Discount Rate = 10.11% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 93.74 | Cagr: 5.12%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.59% ; FCFF base≈37.3m ; Y1≈41.8m ; Y5≈58.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 14.47 (EV 882.6m - Net Debt 343.3m = Equity 539.3m / Shares 37.3m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 12.56% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 56.90 | EPS CAGR: 4.88% | SUE: -3.16 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 93.58 | Revenue CAGR: 14.24% | SUE: 2.01 | # QB: 5
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.32 | Chg30d=-8.70% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=2
EPS next Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=0.29 | Chg30d=-9.38% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2027-06-30): EPS=1.34 | Chg30d=-3.58% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+7.6% | GrowthRev=+28.4%
EPS next Year (2028-06-30): EPS=1.74 | Chg30d=+0.58% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+29.4% | GrowthRev=+7.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -55% (up=1, down=7)