FMBH Stock Analysis: First Mid Illinois | NASDAQ

Banks - Regional | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 1.322m USD | 12M Return: 31.1% | US3208661062 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Deposits, Loans, Wealth Management, Insurance
Total Rating 47
Safety 35
Buy Signal -0.02
Banks - Regional
Industry Rotation: +6.1
Market Cap: 1.32B
Avg Turnover: 5.73M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility26.4%
VaR 5th Pctl4.20%
VaR vs Median-3.59%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.10
Rel. Str. IBD74.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group71.8
Character TTM
Beta0.464
Beta Downside0.474
Hurst Exponent0.541
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD27.46%
CAGR/Max DD0.97
CAGR/Mean DD3.53
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of FMBH over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 1.08, "2021-12": 0.94, "2022-03": 0.96, "2022-06": 0.9, "2022-09": 0.9, "2022-12": 1.01, "2023-03": 0.96, "2023-06": 0.83, "2023-09": 0.77, "2023-12": 0.94, "2024-03": 0.93, "2024-06": 0.84, "2024-09": 0.83, "2024-12": 0.87, "2025-03": 0.96, "2025-06": 0.99, "2025-09": 0.94, "2025-12": 1.06, "2026-03": 1.14, "2026-06": 1.26,
EPS CAGR: 7.52%
EPS Trend: 83.0%
Last SUE: 3.60
Qual. Beats: 2
Revenue Revenue of FMBH over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 65.004, 2021-12: 63.088, 2022-03: 67.155, 2022-06: 69.172, 2022-09: 72.302, 2022-12: 77.607, 2023-03: 84.927, 2023-06: 84.6, 2023-09: 101.74, 2023-12: 110.363, 2024-03: 110.959, 2024-06: 109.824, 2024-09: 112.336, 2024-12: 114.162, 2025-03: 110.592, 2025-06: 115.85, 2025-09: 122.318, 2025-12: 117.58, 2026-03: 100.62, 2026-06: 114.884,
Rev. CAGR: 8.57%
Rev. Trend: 83.8%
Last SUE: 0.46
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan -1.2% 27
Feb -2.0% 8
Mar -1.8% 29
Apr -0.4% 29
May +0.9% 20
Jun +3.0% 37
Jul +0.7% 22
Aug -1.1% 27
Sep -2.5% 31
Oct -1.1% 0
Nov +4.0% 41
Dec +0.1% 2

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: FMBH First Mid Illinois

First Mid Bancshares, Inc. (FMBH) is a community-oriented financial holding company founded in 1865 and headquartered in Mattoon, Illinois. Operating as a regional bank, the company provides a full suite of banking products to commercial, retail, and agricultural customers across the United States, including demand deposits, savings, money market, and time deposit accounts, along with a diversified loan portfolio spanning commercial real estate, commercial and industrial, agricultural, residential, consumer, construction, and multifamily lending.

Beyond traditional banking, FMBH generates fee-based revenue through wealth management services (estate planning, investment advisory, employee benefits, and farm management and brokerage) as well as insurance offerings (property and casualty, senior, group medical, and personal lines). This blend of community banking, wealth management, and insurance reflects a typical super-community bank business model, in which regional lenders supplement net interest income with non-interest income to diversify earnings and deepen customer relationships.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Net interest margin compresses as deposit costs outpace loan repricing
  • Commercial real estate and agricultural loan growth drives core earnings
  • Wealth management and insurance fee income diversifies revenue mix
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 3.0
Net Income: 100.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.23 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -1.33k% < 20% (prev -1.29k%; Δ -41.12% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.01 > 3% & CFO 126.6m > Net Income 100.3m
Net Debt (-969.3m) to EBITDA (90.8m): -10.67 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.21 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (26.6m) vs 12m ago 10.90% < -2%
Gross Margin: 65.16% > 18% (prev 71.00%; Δ -5.85% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 5.39% > 50% (prev 5.90%; Δ -0.50% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.59 > 6 (EBIT TTM 73.7m / Interest Expense TTM 124.2m)
Altman Z'' -3.95
A: -0.66 (Total Current Assets 1.64b - Total Current Liabilities 7.72b) / Total Assets 9.21b
B: 0.06 (Retained Earnings 509.0m / Total Assets 9.21b)
C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 73.7m / Avg Total Assets 8.45b)
D: 0.14 (Book Value of Equity 1.10b / Total Liabilities 8.11b)
Altman-Z'' = -3.95 = D
Beneish M -3.44
DSRI: 0.48 (Receivables 46.8m/96.7m, Revenue 455.4m/452.9m)
GMI: 1.09 (GM 71.00% / 65.16%)
AQI: 0.88 (AQ_t 0.81 / AQ_t-1 0.92)
SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 455.4m / 452.9m)
TATA: -0.00 (NI 100.3m - CFO 126.6m) / TA 9.21b)
Beneish M = -3.44 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of FMBH shares?

As of September 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 49.72 with a total of 208,278 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.52%, over one month by -0.84%, over three months by +5.27% and over the past year by +31.12%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 48.60 (which is 2.3% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is FMBH a buy, sell or hold?

First Mid Illinois has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.86. Therefore, it is recommended to buy FMBH.

  • StrongBuy: 2
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 3
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the FMBH price?
Analysts Target Price 56.5 13.6%
First Mid Illinois (FMBH) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 23 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.32b (1.32b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 12.3275
P/E Forward = 12.0482
P/S = 3.5397
P/B = 1.2058
P/EG = 1.2716
Revenue TTM = 455.4m USD
EBIT TTM = 73.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 90.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 276.3m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 256.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 625.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 13.2m
Net Debt = -969.3m USD (calculated: Debt 625.2m - CCE 1.59b)
Enterprise Value = 352.3m USD (1.32b + Debt 625.2m - CCE 1.59b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.59 (Ebit TTM 73.7m / Interest Expense TTM 124.2m)
EV/FCF = 2.85x (Enterprise Value 352.3m / FCF TTM 123.5m)
FCF Yield = 35.06% (FCF TTM 123.5m / Enterprise Value 352.3m)
FCF Margin = 27.12% (FCF TTM 123.5m / Revenue TTM 455.4m)
Net Margin = 22.01% (Net Income TTM 100.3m / Revenue TTM 455.4m)
Gross Margin = 65.16% ((Revenue TTM 455.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 158.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 69.34% (prev 70.35%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.04 (Enterprise Value 352.3m / Total Assets 9.21b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 19.87% (Interest Expense 124.2m / Debt 625.2m)
Taxrate = 22.28% (28.7m / 129.0m)
NOPAT = 57.3m (EBIT 73.7m * (1 - 22.28%))
Current Ratio = 0.21 (Total Current Assets 1.64b / Total Current Liabilities 7.72b)
Debt / Equity = 0.57 (Debt 625.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.10b)
Debt / EBITDA = -10.67 (Net Debt -969.3m / EBITDA 90.8m)
Debt / FCF = -7.85 (Net Debt -969.3m / FCF TTM 123.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.02b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.19% (Net Income 100.3m / Total Assets 9.21b)
RoE = 9.86% (Net Income TTM 100.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.02b)
RoCE = 5.70% (EBIT 73.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.02b + L.T.Debt 276.3m))
RoIC = 3.32% (NOPAT 57.3m / Invested Capital 1.73b)
WACC = 10.13% (E(1.32b)/V(1.95b) * Re(7.62%) + D(625.2m)/V(1.95b) * Rd(19.87%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 7.62% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 65.37 | Cagr: 4.76%
[DCF] Terminal Value 69.77% ; FCFF base≈122.5m ; Y1≈125.2m ; Y5≈137.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 97.74 (EV 1.63b - Net Debt -969.3m = Equity 2.60b / Shares 26.6m; r=10.13% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 2.10% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 83.01 | EPS CAGR: 7.52% | SUE: 3.60 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 83.78 | Revenue CAGR: 8.57% | SUE: 0.46 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.15 | Chg30d=+1.51% | Revisions=+30% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.73 | Chg30d=+3.82% | Revisions=+70% | GrowthEPS=+18.9% | GrowthRev=+23.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.94 | Chg30d=+0.96% | Revisions=+29% | GrowthEPS=+4.4% | GrowthRev=+5.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +57% (up=15, down=3)