FMBH Stock Analysis: First Mid Illinois | NASDAQ
Banks - Regional | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 1.332m USD | 12M Return: 33.2% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 7.70M
EPS Trend: 83.0%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 83.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
First Mid Bancshares, Inc. (FMBH) is a community-oriented financial holding company founded in 1865 and headquartered in Mattoon, Illinois. Operating as a regional bank, the company provides a full suite of banking products to commercial, retail, and agricultural customers across the United States, including demand deposits, savings, money market, and time deposit accounts, along with a diversified loan portfolio spanning commercial real estate, commercial and industrial, agricultural, residential, consumer, construction, and multifamily lending.
Beyond traditional banking, FMBH generates fee-based revenue through wealth management services (estate planning, investment advisory, employee benefits, and farm management and brokerage) as well as insurance offerings (property and casualty, senior, group medical, and personal lines). This blend of community banking, wealth management, and insurance reflects a typical super-community bank business model, in which regional lenders supplement net interest income with non-interest income to diversify earnings and deepen customer relationships.
- Net interest margin compresses as deposit costs outpace loan repricing
- Commercial real estate and agricultural loan growth drives core earnings
- Wealth management and insurance fee income diversifies revenue mix
| Net Income: 100.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.70 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -1.33k% < 20% (prev -1.29k%; Δ -41.12% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.01 > 3% & CFO 108.1m > Net Income 100.3m |
| Net Debt (-968.5m) to EBITDA (90.8m): -10.67 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.21 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (26.6m) vs 12m ago 10.90% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 65.16% > 18% (prev 71.00%; Δ -5.85% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 5.39% > 50% (prev 5.90%; Δ -0.50% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.59 > 6 (EBIT TTM 73.7m / Interest Expense TTM 124.2m) |
| A: -0.66 (Total Current Assets 1.64b - Total Current Liabilities 7.72b) / Total Assets 9.21b |
| B: 0.06 (Retained Earnings 509.0m / Total Assets 9.21b) |
| C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 73.7m / Avg Total Assets 8.45b) |
| D: 0.14 (Book Value of Equity 1.10b / Total Liabilities 8.11b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -3.95 = D |
| DSRI: 0.48 (Receivables 46.8m/96.7m, Revenue 455.4m/452.9m) |
| GMI: 1.09 (GM 71.00% / 65.16%) |
| AQI: 0.88 (AQ_t 0.81 / AQ_t-1 0.92) |
| SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 455.4m / 452.9m) |
| TATA: -0.00 (NI 100.3m - CFO 108.1m) / TA 9.21b) |
| Beneish M = -3.44 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 28, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 51.16 with a total of 211,405 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.84%, over one month by +6.90%, over three months by +18.61% and over the past year by +33.22%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 47.90 (which is 6.4% or 2.8 ATR below the current price).
First Mid Illinois has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.86. Therefore, it is recommended to buy FMBH.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 50 | -2.3% |
P/E Trailing = 12.6389
P/E Forward = 12.0482
P/S = 3.792
P/B = 1.199
P/EG = 1.2716
Revenue TTM = 455.4m USD
EBIT TTM = 73.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 90.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 354.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 256.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 625.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 14.0m
Net Debt = -968.5m USD (calculated: Debt 625.9m - CCE 1.59b)
Enterprise Value = 363.6m USD (1.33b + Debt 625.9m - CCE 1.59b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.59 (Ebit TTM 73.7m / Interest Expense TTM 124.2m)
EV/FCF = 3.59x (Enterprise Value 363.6m / FCF TTM 101.2m)
FCF Yield = 27.83% (FCF TTM 101.2m / Enterprise Value 363.6m)
FCF Margin = 22.22% (FCF TTM 101.2m / Revenue TTM 455.4m)
Net Margin = 22.01% (Net Income TTM 100.3m / Revenue TTM 455.4m)
Gross Margin = 65.16% ((Revenue TTM 455.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 158.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 69.34% (prev 70.35%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.04 (Enterprise Value 363.6m / Total Assets 9.21b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 19.84% (Interest Expense 124.2m / Debt 625.9m)
Taxrate = 22.28% (28.7m / 129.0m)
NOPAT = 57.3m (EBIT 73.7m * (1 - 22.28%))
Current Ratio = 0.21 (Total Current Assets 1.64b / Total Current Liabilities 7.72b)
Debt / Equity = 0.57 (Debt 625.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.10b)
Debt / EBITDA = -10.67 (Net Debt -968.5m / EBITDA 90.8m)
Debt / FCF = -9.57 (Net Debt -968.5m / FCF TTM 101.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.02b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.19% (Net Income 100.3m / Total Assets 9.21b)
RoE = 9.86% (Net Income TTM 100.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.02b)
RoCE = 5.37% (EBIT 73.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.02b + L.T.Debt 354.5m))
RoIC = 3.32% (NOPAT 57.3m / Invested Capital 1.73b)
WACC = 10.27% (E(1.33b)/V(1.96b) * Re(7.85%) + D(625.9m)/V(1.96b) * Rd(19.84%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 7.85% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 65.37 | Cagr: 4.76%
[DCF] Terminal Value 66.28% ; FCFF base≈115.9m ; Y1≈101.6m ; Y5≈82.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = 74.04 (EV 1.00b - Net Debt -968.5m = Equity 1.97b / Shares 26.6m; r=10.27% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 83.01 | EPS CAGR: 7.52% | SUE: 3.60 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 83.78 | Revenue CAGR: 8.57% | SUE: 0.46 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.12 | Chg30d=-0.73% | Revisions=+30% | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.55 | Chg30d=-0.15% | Revisions=+70% | GrowthEPS=+14.4% | GrowthRev=+23.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.88 | Chg30d=-0.19% | Revisions=+62% | GrowthEPS=+7.3% | GrowthRev=+6.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +68% (up=17, down=2)