FER Stock Analysis: Ferrovial SE | NASDAQ
Engineering & Construction | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 45.261m USD | 12M Return: 23% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 87.7M
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Ferrovial SE is a Netherlands-based infrastructure company founded in 1952 and headquartered in Amsterdam, with shares listed on NASDAQ under the ticker FER following its 2023 IPO. It operates across four segments - Construction, Highways, Airports, and Energy - with activities spanning the United States, Poland, Spain, the United Kingdom, Canada, and other international markets. Its core business model centers on long-term infrastructure concessions, particularly toll roads and airports, alongside public and private construction projects and a growing portfolio in energy transmission, renewable generation, energy efficiency services, and waste management. Within the Industrials sector (GICS sub-industry: Construction & Engineering), Ferrovial competes alongside other global infrastructure operators that rely on public-private partnerships and long-duration concession contracts as their primary revenue model.
- US managed lane toll revenue accelerates in Texas
- Heathrow stake valuation rises on travel recovery
- Energy infrastructure backlog expands on renewables push
| Net Income: 852.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.60 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 8.79% < 20% (prev 14.43%; Δ -5.64% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 1.93b > Net Income 852.0m |
| Net Debt (6.79b) to EBITDA (1.49b): 4.57 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.13 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (720.0m) vs 12m ago -0.29% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 88.33% > 18% (prev 87.36%; Δ 0.97% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 34.13% > 50% (prev 32.77%; Δ 1.36% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.28 > 6 (EBIT TTM 996.5m / Interest Expense TTM 438.0m) |
| A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 7.31b - Total Current Liabilities 6.46b) / Total Assets 27.4b |
| B: 0.10 (Retained Earnings 2.79b / Total Assets 27.4b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 996.5m / Avg Total Assets 28.2b) |
| D: 0.30 (Book Value of Equity 5.91b / Total Liabilities 19.8b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.08 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.32 (Receivables 2.17b/1.62b, Revenue 9.63b/9.50b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 87.36% / 88.33%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.69 / AQ_t-1 0.70) |
| SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 9.63b / 9.50b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 852.0m - CFO 1.93b) / TA 27.4b) |
| Beneish M = -2.78 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 28, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 62.86 with a total of 1,680,140 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.93%, over one month by -8.09%, over three months by -6.27% and over the past year by +23.00%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 61.00 (which is 3% or 1.7 ATR below the current price).
Ferrovial SE has no consensus analysts rating.
Market Cap EUR = 39.7b (45.3b USD * 0.8765 USD.EUR)
P/E Trailing = 49.4141
P/E Forward = 52.9101
P/S = 4.7014
P/B = 6.7136
P/EG = 4.8879
Revenue TTM = 9.63b EUR
EBIT TTM = 996.5m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 1.49b EUR
Long Term Debt = 9.36b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.16b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 11.0b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 305.0m
Net Debt = 6.79b EUR (calculated: Debt 11.0b - CCE 4.24b)
Enterprise Value = 46.5b EUR (39.7b + Debt 11.0b - CCE 4.24b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.28 (Ebit TTM 996.5m / Interest Expense TTM 438.0m)
EV/FCF = 36.50x (Enterprise Value 46.5b / FCF TTM 1.27b)
FCF Yield = 2.74% (FCF TTM 1.27b / Enterprise Value 46.5b)
FCF Margin = 13.22% (FCF TTM 1.27b / Revenue TTM 9.63b)
Net Margin = 8.85% (Net Income TTM 852.0m / Revenue TTM 9.63b)
Gross Margin = 88.33% ((Revenue TTM 9.63b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.12b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.69 (Enterprise Value 46.5b / Total Assets 27.4b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.97% (Interest Expense 438.0m / Debt 11.0b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = 787.2m (EBIT 996.5m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.13 (Total Current Assets 7.31b / Total Current Liabilities 6.46b)
Debt / Equity = 1.87 (Debt 11.0b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.91b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.57 (Net Debt 6.79b / EBITDA 1.49b)
Debt / FCF = 5.34 (Net Debt 6.79b / FCF TTM 1.27b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.90b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.02% (Net Income 852.0m / Total Assets 27.4b)
RoE = 14.43% (Net Income TTM 852.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.90b)
RoCE = 6.53% (EBIT 996.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 5.90b + L.T.Debt 9.36b))
RoIC = 3.64% (NOPAT 787.2m / Invested Capital 21.6b)
WACC = 7.32% (E(39.7b)/V(50.7b) * Re(8.48%) + D(11.0b)/V(50.7b) * Rd(3.97%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.48% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -90.15 | Cagr: -0.64%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈1.12b ; Y1≈1.28b ; Y5≈1.88b
[DCF] Fair Price = 30.11 (EV 28.3b - Net Debt 6.79b = Equity 21.5b / Shares 715.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 93.89 | Revenue CAGR: 6.81% | SUE: 0.19 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2025-09-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS current Year (2025-12-31): EPS=0.99 | Chg30d=+19.04% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-36.2% | GrowthRev=+3.4%
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.13 | Chg30d=+4.52% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+19.3% | GrowthRev=+4.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +17% (up=2, down=1)