DPZ Stock Analysis: Domino's Pizza Common Stock | NASDAQ
Restaurants | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 10.796m USD | 12M Return: -26.2% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 295M
EPS Trend: 91.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 99.6%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Dominos Pizza, Inc. is a global pizza company headquartered in Ann Arbor, Michigan, founded in 1960 and publicly traded on NASDAQ under the ticker DPZ. The company operates through three business segments: U.S. Stores, International Franchise, and Supply Chain, generating revenue primarily through a franchise-based model that spans both company-owned and franchised locations worldwide. In addition to its core pizza offerings, the menu includes bread products, wings, boneless chicken, pastas, oven-baked sandwiches, soft drinks, and desserts, along with specialty items such as parmesan stuffed crust pizza and various flavored bread bites.
As a member of the Consumer Discretionary sector within the GICS Restaurants sub-industry, Dominos operates in a highly competitive quick-service restaurant market. Its franchise-heavy structure is a defining feature of the business model, allowing the company to expand its global footprint with relatively low capital investment while deriving significant revenue from royalties and supply chain distribution to franchisees.
- US same-store sales growth drives domestic segment revenue
- International franchise expansion lifts royalty and ad fees
- Cheese and wheat costs pressure Supply Chain segment margins
| Net Income: 596.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.37 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.21 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 6.30% < 20% (prev -14.24%; Δ 20.54% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.44 > 3% & CFO 777.8m > Net Income 596.5m |
| Net Debt (5.21b) to EBITDA (1.07b): 4.86 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.54 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (33.3m) vs 12m ago -3.15% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 40.02% > 18% (prev 39.61%; Δ 0.41% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 281.3% > 50% (prev 264.0%; Δ 17.34% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.96 > 6 (EBIT TTM 982.2m / Interest Expense TTM 198.0m) |
| A: 0.18 (Total Current Assets 905.4m - Total Current Liabilities 588.7m) / Total Assets 1.76b |
| B: -2.26 (Retained Earnings -3.98b / Total Assets 1.76b) |
| C: 0.55 (EBIT TTM 982.2m / Avg Total Assets 1.79b) |
| D: -0.69 (Book Value of Equity -3.98b / Total Liabilities 5.75b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -3.21 = D |
| DSRI: 1.01 (Receivables 303.2m/284.6m, Revenue 5.03b/4.78b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 39.61% / 40.02%) |
| AQI: 0.90 (AQ_t 0.14 / AQ_t-1 0.16) |
| SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 5.03b / 4.78b) |
| TATA: -0.10 (NI 596.5m - CFO 777.8m) / TA 1.76b) |
| Beneish M = -3.06 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 28, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 343.53 with a total of 1,051,082 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.43%, over one month by +16.83%, over three months by +3.09% and over the past year by -26.18%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 314.10 (which is 8.6% or 2.3 ATR below the current price).
Domino's Pizza Common Stock has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.10. Therefore, it is recommended to buy DPZ.
- StrongBuy: 16
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 390.9 | 13.8% |
P/E Trailing = 18.6587
P/E Forward = 17.2117
P/S = 2.1472
P/EG = 1.6119
Revenue TTM = 5.03b USD
EBIT TTM = 982.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.07b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.81b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 53.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.38b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 252.2m
Net Debt = 5.21b USD (calculated: Debt 5.38b - CCE 164.8m)
Enterprise Value = 16.0b USD (10.8b + Debt 5.38b - CCE 164.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.96 (Ebit TTM 982.2m / Interest Expense TTM 198.0m)
EV/FCF = 24.49x (Enterprise Value 16.0b / FCF TTM 653.5m)
FCF Yield = 4.08% (FCF TTM 653.5m / Enterprise Value 16.0b)
FCF Margin = 13.00% (FCF TTM 653.5m / Revenue TTM 5.03b)
Net Margin = 11.86% (Net Income TTM 596.5m / Revenue TTM 5.03b)
Gross Margin = 40.02% ((Revenue TTM 5.03b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.02b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 40.04% (prev 40.37%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 9.08 (Enterprise Value 16.0b / Total Assets 1.76b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.68% (Interest Expense 198.0m / Debt 5.38b)
Taxrate = 22.07% (169.0m / 765.5m)
NOPAT = 765.4m (EBIT 982.2m * (1 - 22.07%))
Current Ratio = 1.54 (Total Current Assets 905.4m / Total Current Liabilities 588.7m)
Debt / Equity = -1.35 (negative equity) (Debt 5.38b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -3.98b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.86 (Net Debt 5.21b / EBITDA 1.07b)
Debt / FCF = 7.97 (Net Debt 5.21b / FCF TTM 653.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -3.94b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 33.38% (Net Income 596.5m / Total Assets 1.76b)
RoE = -15.15% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 596.5m / Total Stockholder Equity -3.94b)
RoCE = 112.6% (EBIT 982.2m / Capital Employed (Equity -3.94b + L.T.Debt 4.81b))
RoIC = 71.99% (NOPAT 765.4m / Invested Capital 1.06b)
WACC = 5.85% (E(10.8b)/V(16.2b) * Re(7.34%) + D(5.38b)/V(16.2b) * Rd(3.68%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 7.34% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -96.80 | Cagr: -2.36%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.27% ; FCFF base≈637.4m ; Y1≈674.8m ; Y5≈794.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = 212.2 (EV 12.2b - Net Debt 5.21b = Equity 7.02b / Shares 33.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 6.57% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 91.22 | EPS CAGR: 7.78% | SUE: -0.16 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.59 | Revenue CAGR: 4.53% | SUE: 0.90 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=4.37 | Chg30d=-0.89% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=21
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=19.11 | Chg30d=-0.50% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+8.8% | GrowthRev=+5.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=20.90 | Chg30d=-0.47% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+9.4% | GrowthRev=+3.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -58% (up=1, down=8)