BFC Stock Analysis: Bank First National | NASDAQ

Banks - Regional | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 1.671m USD | 12M Return: 19.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Mortgages, Commercial Loans, Deposit Accounts, Digital Banking
Total Rating 42
Safety 44
Buy Signal -0.40
Banks - Regional
Industry Rotation: -5.9
Market Cap: 1.67B
Avg Turnover: 15.1M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility27.7%
VaR 5th Pctl4.78%
VaR vs Median4.72%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.64
Rel. Str. IBD52.1
Rel. Str. Peer Group12.8
Character TTM
Beta0.518
Beta Downside0.441
Hurst Exponent0.629
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD15.70%
CAGR/Max DD1.43
CAGR/Mean DD3.73
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of BFC over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 1.5, "2021-09": 1.46, "2021-12": 1.55, "2022-03": 1.34, "2022-06": 1.55, "2022-09": 1.26, "2022-12": 1.43, "2023-03": 1.09, "2023-06": 1.37, "2023-09": 1.46, "2023-12": 1.44, "2024-03": 1.51, "2024-06": 1.56, "2024-09": 1.65, "2024-12": 1.74, "2025-03": 1.74, "2025-06": 1.66, "2025-09": 1.91, "2025-12": 2, "2026-03": 1.78, "2026-06": 2.45,
EPS CAGR: 15.43%
EPS Trend: 99.0%
Last SUE: 0.83
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of BFC over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 29.264, 2021-09: 28.419, 2021-12: 29.404, 2022-03: 27.923, 2022-06: 29.989, 2022-09: 34.383, 2022-12: 38.473, 2023-03: 44.715, 2023-06: 48.274, 2023-09: 50.615, 2023-12: 42.869, 2024-03: 52.703, 2024-06: 54.306, 2024-09: 57.863, 2024-12: 58.371, 2025-03: 60.455, 2025-06: 58.502, 2025-09: 60.095, 2025-12: 61.394, 2026-03: 84.297, 2026-06: 85.749,
Rev. CAGR: 16.72%
Rev. Trend: 98.0%
Last SUE: 0.94
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

Choppy

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan -0.1% 2
Feb +0.2% 13
Mar -0.3% 16
Apr -1.3% 13
May +2.2% 17
Jun +2.2% 16
Jul +0.0% 20
Aug -0.0% 5
Sep -0.9% 25
Oct +1.2% 6
Nov +0.3% 11
Dec -2.1% 20

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: BFC Bank First National

Bank First Corporation (NASDAQ: BFC) is a Wisconsin-based bank holding company that operates Bank First, N.A., providing consumer and commercial financial services to businesses, professionals, and individuals across the state. Founded in 1894 and headquartered in Manitowoc, Wisconsin, the company offers a full suite of deposit products-including checking, savings, money market, and CDs-alongside a diverse loan portfolio spanning commercial real estate, residential mortgages, commercial and industrial lending, construction loans, and consumer credit products. It also delivers ancillary services such as credit cards, insurance, treasury management, investment/safekeeping, and digital banking channels.

As a regional community bank, Bank First operates under a relationship-based banking model that emphasizes local lending and deposit gathering within its Wisconsin footprint, a model that typically relies on net interest income as the primary revenue driver. The company rebranded from Bank First National Corporation to its current name in June 2019 and trades as a small-cap stock within the Financials sector.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Net interest margin expands on Fed rate pause
  • Commercial loan growth outpaces Wisconsin regional bank peers
  • Deposit costs rise amid intensifying regional banking competition
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 3.0
Net Income: 81.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.92 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 81.10% < 20% (prev -1.44k%; Δ 1.52k% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.01 > 3% & CFO 44.7m > Net Income 81.1m
Net Debt (-161.7m) to EBITDA (106.3m): -1.52 < 3
Current Ratio: 8.86 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (11.1m) vs 12m ago 12.61% < -2%
Gross Margin: 74.14% > 18% (prev 69.25%; Δ 4.89% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 5.65% > 50% (prev 5.39%; Δ 0.27% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.35 > 6 (EBIT TTM 100.7m / Interest Expense TTM 74.7m)
Altman Z'' 0.79
A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 266.5m - Total Current Liabilities 30.1m) / Total Assets 5.95b
B: 0.07 (Retained Earnings 417.0m / Total Assets 5.95b)
C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 100.7m / Avg Total Assets 5.16b)
D: 0.16 (Book Value of Equity 819.3m / Total Liabilities 5.13b)
Altman-Z'' = 0.79 = B
What is the price of BFC shares?

As of July 28, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 148.67 with a total of 112,464 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.95%, over one month by +0.58%, over three months by +2.48% and over the past year by +19.77%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 142.50 (which is 4.2% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is BFC a buy, sell or hold?

Bank First National has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy BFC.

  • StrongBuy: 1
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the BFC price?
Analysts Target Price 163 9.6%
Bank First National (BFC) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 26 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.67b (1.67b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 19.1588
P/E Forward = 5.8106
P/S = 7.6915
P/B = 1.9937
P/EG = 0.098
Revenue TTM = 291.5m USD
EBIT TTM = 100.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 106.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 92.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 30.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 104.8m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -161.7m USD (calculated: Debt 104.8m - CCE 266.5m)
Enterprise Value = 1.51b USD (1.67b + Debt 104.8m - CCE 266.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.35 (Ebit TTM 100.7m / Interest Expense TTM 74.7m)
EV/FCF = 50.08x (Enterprise Value 1.51b / FCF TTM 30.1m)
FCF Yield = 2.00% (FCF TTM 30.1m / Enterprise Value 1.51b)
FCF Margin = 10.34% (FCF TTM 30.1m / Revenue TTM 291.5m)
Net Margin = 27.80% (Net Income TTM 81.1m / Revenue TTM 291.5m)
Gross Margin = 74.14% ((Revenue TTM 291.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 75.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 75.88% (prev 75.81%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.25 (Enterprise Value 1.51b / Total Assets 5.95b)
 Interest Expense / Debt = 71.29% (Interest Expense 74.7m / Debt 104.8m)
 Taxrate = 19.51% (19.6m / 100.7m)
NOPAT = 81.1m (EBIT 100.7m * (1 - 19.51%))
Current Ratio = 8.86 (Total Current Assets 266.5m / Total Current Liabilities 30.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.13 (Debt 104.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 819.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.52 (Net Debt -161.7m / EBITDA 106.3m)
Debt / FCF = -5.37 (Net Debt -161.7m / FCF TTM 30.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 727.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.57% (Net Income 81.1m / Total Assets 5.95b)
RoE = 11.14% (Net Income TTM 81.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 727.8m)
RoCE = 12.29% (EBIT 100.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 727.8m + L.T.Debt 92.0m))
RoIC = 1.37% (NOPAT 81.1m / Invested Capital 5.93b)
WACC = 7.34% (E(1.67b)/V(1.78b) * Re(7.80%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 7.80% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 54.89 | Cagr: 4.14%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈42.9m ; Y1≈37.6m ; Y5≈30.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 58.63 (EV 488.0m - Net Debt -161.7m = Equity 649.7m / Shares 11.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 99.00 | EPS CAGR: 15.43% | SUE: 0.83 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 97.99 | Revenue CAGR: 16.72% | SUE: 0.94 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.60 | Chg30d=+2.77% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=9.94 | Chg30d=+0.61% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+34.0% | GrowthRev=+52.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=11.93 | Chg30d=-0.83% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+20.0% | GrowthRev=+29.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=2, down=2)