AEBI Stock Analysis: Aebi Schmidt Holding | NASDAQ

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 930m USD | 12M Return: -9.5% | CH0027352993 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Snow Removal, Municipal Vehicles, Sweeping Machines, Truck Upfitting
Total Rating 30
Safety 47
Buy Signal -0.73
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Industry Rotation: +0.9
Market Cap: 930M
Avg Turnover: 3.77M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility51.3%
VaR 5th Pctl8.85%
VaR vs Median4.63%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.03
Rel. Str. IBD18.5
Rel. Str. Peer Group19.1
Character TTM
Beta0.892
Beta Downside0.377
Hurst Exponent0.530
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD40.81%
CAGR/Max DD-0.01
CAGR/Mean DD-0.03
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of AEBI over the last years for every Quarter: "2023-12": null, "2024-03": null, "2024-06": null, "2024-09": null, "2024-12": null, "2025-03": null, "2025-06": 0.08, "2025-09": 0.2, "2025-12": 0.3406, "2026-03": 0.06, "2026-06": 0.14,
Last SUE: 0.21
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of AEBI over the last years for every Quarter: 2023-12: 1015.572, 2024-03: 258.801, 2024-06: 239.735167, 2024-09: 224.972997, 2024-12: 270.712576, 2025-03: 249.186, 2025-06: 277.743, 2025-09: 471.325, 2025-12: 528.371, 2026-03: 581.297092, 2026-06: 496.408,
Rev. CAGR: 22.61%
Rev. Trend: 93.2%
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Choppy
Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 1.2 years of data

Jan - -
Feb - -
Mar - -
Apr - -
May - -
Jun - -
Jul -1.7% -
Aug -3.7% -
Sep - -
Oct - -
Nov - -
Dec - -

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: AEBI Aebi Schmidt Holding

Aebi Schmidt Holding AG is a Swiss manufacturer of specialty vehicles and equipment serving the agricultural, municipal, commercial, and aviation sectors across North America, Europe, and other international markets. The company produces a wide range of products, including single-axle implement carriers, snow plows, cutters, spreaders, sweepers, and sprayers, as well as truck and van bodies, hydraulic systems, and emergency lighting. It also offers related services such as custom engineering, after-market support, vehicle tracking, and camera systems, marketing its products under a portfolio of established brands including Aebi, Schmidt, Monroe, Towmaster, Utilimaster, Meyer, and Spartan RV Chassis.

Founded in 1883 and headquartered in Frauenfeld, Switzerland, the company operates within the Industrials sector (Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment). Its business model is closely tied to public-sector and municipal spending on infrastructure maintenance, particularly winter road services, as well as commercial fleet upfitting and airport ground support operations, which can result in seasonal demand patterns tied to weather and government budget cycles.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Severe winter weather boosts North American snow removal equipment orders
  • Municipal infrastructure spending drives government fleet replacement demand
  • Steel and aluminum input costs pressure specialty vehicle gross margins
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.5
Net Income: 21.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.45 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 26.52% < 20% (prev 23.22%; Δ 3.30% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.01 > 3% & CFO 16.7m > Net Income 21.4m
Net Debt (1.01b) to EBITDA (163.5m): 6.17 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.98 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (77.5m) vs 12m ago -0.10% < -2%
Gross Margin: 18.50% > 18% (prev 20.47%; Δ -1.97% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 119.6% > 50% (prev 105.0%; Δ 14.65% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.02 > 6 (EBIT TTM 104.3m / Interest Expense TTM 51.6m)
Altman Z'' 2.68
A: 0.22 (Total Current Assets 1.11b - Total Current Liabilities 561.1m) / Total Assets 2.50b
B: 0.03 (Retained Earnings 80.4m / Total Assets 2.50b)
C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 104.3m / Avg Total Assets 1.74b)
D: 0.69 (Book Value of Equity 1.02b / Total Liabilities 1.48b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.68 = A
Beneish M -1.89
DSRI: 1.32 (Receivables 457.6m/170.8m, Revenue 2.08b/1.02b)
GMI: 1.11 (GM 20.47% / 18.50%)
AQI: 1.06 (AQ_t 0.39 / AQ_t-1 0.37)
SGI: 2.03 (Revenue 2.08b / 1.02b)
TATA: 0.00 (NI 21.4m - CFO 16.7m) / TA 2.50b)
Beneish M = -1.89 (Cap -4..+1) = B
What is the price of AEBI shares?

As of September 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 11.00 with a total of 734,234 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -8.26%, over one month by -11.00%, over three months by -16.50% and over the past year by -9.48%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 10.20 (which is 7.3% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is AEBI a buy, sell or hold?

Aebi Schmidt Holding has no consensus analysts rating.

Aebi Schmidt Holding (AEBI) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 22 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 930.5m (930.5m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 38.6774
P/E Forward = 10.3413
P/S = 0.4768
P/B = 1.1288
Revenue TTM = 2.08b USD
EBIT TTM = 104.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 163.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 551.3m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 104.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.14b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 168.9m
Net Debt = 1.01b USD (calculated: Debt 1.14b - CCE 136.0m)
Enterprise Value = 1.94b USD (930.5m + Debt 1.14b - CCE 136.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.02 (Ebit TTM 104.3m / Interest Expense TTM 51.6m)
EV/FCF = 1000.0x (Enterprise Value 1.94b / FCF TTM 1.90m)
FCF Yield = 0.10% (FCF TTM 1.90m / Enterprise Value 1.94b)
FCF Margin = 0.09% (FCF TTM 1.90m / Revenue TTM 2.08b)
Net Margin = 1.03% (Net Income TTM 21.4m / Revenue TTM 2.08b)
Gross Margin = 18.50% ((Revenue TTM 2.08b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.69b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 19.60% (prev 17.42%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.78 (Enterprise Value 1.94b / Total Assets 2.50b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.51% (Interest Expense 51.6m / Debt 1.14b)
Taxrate = 24.90% (7.06m / 28.4m)
NOPAT = 78.4m (EBIT 104.3m * (1 - 24.90%))
Current Ratio = 1.98 (Total Current Assets 1.11b / Total Current Liabilities 561.1m)
Debt / Equity = 1.12 (Debt 1.14b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.02b)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.17 (Net Debt 1.01b / EBITDA 163.5m)
Debt / FCF = 530.1 (Net Debt 1.01b / FCF TTM 1.90m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 915.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.23% (Net Income 21.4m / Total Assets 2.50b)
RoE = 2.33% (Net Income TTM 21.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 915.7m)
RoCE = 7.11% (EBIT 104.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 915.7m + L.T.Debt 551.3m))
RoIC = 4.04% (NOPAT 78.4m / Invested Capital 1.94b)
WACC = 5.96% (E(930.5m)/V(2.07b) * Re(9.12%) + D(1.14b)/V(2.07b) * Rd(4.51%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 9.12% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -30.90 | Cagr: -0.05%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈14.9m ; Y1≈13.0m ; Y5≈10.5m
 [DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 169.1m - Net Debt 1.01b = -838.9m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.21 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 93.24 | Revenue CAGR: 22.61% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.24 | Chg30d=+4.35% | Revisions=+40% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.76 | Chg30d=+4.86% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+7.7% | GrowthRev=+34.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.24 | Chg30d=-8.15% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+64.2% | GrowthRev=+5.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +22% (up=4, down=2)