REP Stock Analysis: Repsol S.A. | MC
Oil & Gas Integrated | MC, Spain | Market Cap: 28.777m EUR | 12M Return: 95.7% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 86.2M
EPS Trend: -59.7%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 4.5%
Qual. Beats: -1
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Repsol, S.A. is a Madrid-headquartered multi-energy company founded in 1927 (formerly Repsol YPF, renamed in May 2012) operating in Spain, Peru, the United States, Portugal, and internationally. The company is organized into four reporting segments: Upstream (exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas, plus low-carbon geological solutions); Industrial (oil refining, trading, transport and wholesale of crude oil, natural gas and fuels, and activities in hydrogen, sustainable biofuels, and synthetic fuels); Customer (gas station/mobility business, retail electricity and gas, lubricants, and fuel products including gasoline, diesel, aviation kerosene, LPG, and biofuels); and Low-Carbon Generation (electricity from hydroelectric, wind, and photovoltaic sources). Additional activities span financial services, CO2 capture and pyrolysis pilot plants, hydrogen value chain development, molecular recycling, petrochemicals, waste management, LNG regasification, EV charging, and insurance/reinsurance, alongside consumer offerings such as the Waylet, Vivit, and WiBLE apps.
Classified under GICS as Integrated Oil & Gas, Repsols structure combines upstream hydrocarbon production with midstream trading/transport and downstream refining and marketing, giving it vertical exposure across the full oil and gas value chain. Its parallel investment in renewable generation, biofuels, hydrogen, and carbon capture reflects the broader energy transition strategy being adopted by major integrated oil and gas peers, who are increasingly allocating capital toward low-carbon assets alongside legacy fossil fuel operations.
- Brent crude price swings drive upstream production revenue and cash flow
- Spanish windfall tax pressures refining and marketing segment margins
- Renewable capacity expansion accelerates low-carbon generation investment returns
| Net Income: 3.50b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.83 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 14.92% < 20% (prev 6.14%; Δ 8.78% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 5.55b > Net Income 3.50b |
| Net Debt (8.04b) to EBITDA (8.29b): 0.97 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.56 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.13b) vs 12m ago -0.32% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 21.95% > 18% (prev 17.61%; Δ 4.34% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 100.0% > 50% (prev 116.5%; Δ -16.51% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 15.19 > 6 (EBIT TTM 5.88b / Interest Expense TTM 387.0m) |
| A: 0.15 (Total Current Assets 25.2b - Total Current Liabilities 16.1b) / Total Assets 62.6b |
| B: 0.31 (Retained Earnings 19.2b / Total Assets 62.6b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 5.88b / Avg Total Assets 60.9b) |
| D: 0.78 (Book Value of Equity 26.3b / Total Liabilities 33.8b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.42 = A |
| DSRI: 1.32 (Receivables 8.13b/6.97b, Revenue 60.9b/68.8b) |
| GMI: 0.80 (GM 17.61% / 21.95%) |
| AQI: 1.03 (AQ_t 0.20 / AQ_t-1 0.20) |
| SGI: 0.88 (Revenue 60.9b / 68.8b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 3.50b - CFO 5.55b) / TA 62.6b) |
| Beneish M = -3.01 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 29, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 25.54 with a total of 2,629,738 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.78%, over one month by +21.38%, over three months by +23.38% and over the past year by +95.65%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 24.00 (which is 6% or 2.3 ATR below the current price).
Repsol S.A. has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 12.3411
P/E Forward = 7.0373
P/S = 0.5807
P/B = 1.0643
P/EG = 0.4992
Revenue TTM = 60.9b EUR
EBIT TTM = 5.88b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 8.29b EUR
Long Term Debt = 8.55b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.00b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 15.5b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 2.76b
Net Debt = 8.04b EUR (calculated: Debt 15.5b - CCE 7.50b)
Enterprise Value = 36.8b EUR (28.8b + Debt 15.5b - CCE 7.50b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 15.19 (Ebit TTM 5.88b / Interest Expense TTM 387.0m)
EV/FCF = 20.24x (Enterprise Value 36.8b / FCF TTM 1.82b)
FCF Yield = 4.94% (FCF TTM 1.82b / Enterprise Value 36.8b)
FCF Margin = 2.99% (FCF TTM 1.82b / Revenue TTM 60.9b)
Net Margin = 5.74% (Net Income TTM 3.50b / Revenue TTM 60.9b)
Gross Margin = 21.95% ((Revenue TTM 60.9b - Cost of Revenue TTM 47.5b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 26.71% (prev 29.95%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.59 (Enterprise Value 36.8b / Total Assets 62.6b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.49% (Interest Expense 387.0m / Debt 15.5b)
Taxrate = 34.21% (1.92b / 5.60b)
NOPAT = 3.87b (EBIT 5.88b * (1 - 34.21%))
Current Ratio = 1.56 (Total Current Assets 25.2b / Total Current Liabilities 16.1b)
Debt / Equity = 0.59 (Debt 15.5b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 26.3b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.97 (Net Debt 8.04b / EBITDA 8.29b)
Debt / FCF = 4.42 (Net Debt 8.04b / FCF TTM 1.82b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 24.8b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.75% (Net Income 3.50b / Total Assets 62.6b)
RoE = 14.10% (Net Income TTM 3.50b / Total Stockholder Equity 24.8b)
RoCE = 17.63% (EBIT 5.88b / Capital Employed (Equity 24.8b + L.T.Debt 8.55b))
RoIC = 8.51% (NOPAT 3.87b / Invested Capital 45.5b)
WACC = 4.97% (E(28.8b)/V(44.3b) * Re(6.77%) + D(15.5b)/V(44.3b) * Rd(2.49%) * (1-Tc(0.34)))
Discount Rate = 6.77% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -55.02 | Cagr: -3.12%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈1.58b ; Y1≈1.81b ; Y5≈2.67b
[DCF] Fair Price = 29.46 (EV 40.1b - Net Debt 8.04b = Equity 32.1b / Shares 1.09b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -59.69 | EPS CAGR: -13.39% | SUE: 1.75 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 4.53 | Revenue CAGR: 0.45% | SUE: -2.14 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.06 | Chg30d=+0.02% | Revisions=+17% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.16 | Chg30d=+7.52% | Revisions=+15% | GrowthEPS=+69.5% | GrowthRev=+26.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.41 | Chg30d=+2.80% | Revisions=+15% | GrowthEPS=-18.1% | GrowthRev=-12.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +19% (up=14, down=9)