GALP Stock Analysis: Galp Energia SGPS S.A. | LS

Oil & Gas Integrated | LS, Portugal | Market Cap: 16.146m EUR | 12M Return: 19% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Oil, Gas, Refining, Renewables
Total Rating 44
Safety 82
Buy Signal 0.06
Oil & Gas Integrated
Industry Rotation: +24.3
Market Cap: 18.4B
Avg Turnover: 29.5M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility36.4%
VaR 5th Pctl5.63%
VaR vs Median-4.69%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.61
Rel. Str. IBD58.7
Rel. Str. Peer Group2.5
Character TTM
Beta0.201
Beta Downside0.299
Hurst Exponent0.490
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD38.12%
CAGR/Max DD0.56
CAGR/Mean DD1.77
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of GALP over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.18, "2021-09": 0.19, "2021-12": 0.16, "2022-03": 0.19, "2022-06": 0.32, "2022-09": 0.23, "2022-12": 0.33, "2023-03": 0.31, "2023-06": 0.34, "2023-09": 0.27, "2023-12": 0.34, "2024-03": 0.44, "2024-06": 0.39, "2024-09": 0.36, "2024-12": 0.0835, "2025-03": 0.25, "2025-06": 0.51, "2025-09": 0.56, "2025-12": 0.24, "2026-03": 0.3676,
EPS CAGR: 6.62%
EPS Trend: 45.5%
Last SUE: 0.01
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of GALP over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 3638, 2021-09: 4364, 2021-12: 4775, 2022-03: 5662, 2022-06: 7228, 2022-09: 7761, 2022-12: 6187, 2023-03: 5146, 2023-06: 5013, 2023-09: 5391, 2023-12: 5219, 2024-03: 5075, 2024-06: 5721, 2024-09: 5610, 2024-12: 4905, 2025-03: 4808, 2025-06: 5025, 2025-09: null, 2025-12: 4576, 2026-03: 5035,
Rev. CAGR: -7.57%
Rev. Trend: -82.2%
Last SUE: -1.17
Qual. Beats: -1

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan -0.6% 8
Feb -1.0% 26
Mar +1.4% 27
Apr +0.3% 11
May -1.9% 14
Jun -1.6% 15
Jul +0.4% 5
Aug -0.0% 5
Sep -1.5% 8
Oct -4.5% 10
Nov -2.0% 9
Dec -1.2% 6

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: GALP Galp Energia SGPS S.A.

Galp Energia SGPS S.A. is a Portugal-based integrated energy operator with operations across four main segments: Upstream (exploration and production of hydrocarbons in Brazil, Mozambique, and Namibia), Industrial & Midstream (refining, logistics, and trading of oil products, gas, and power in Portugal, including co-generation), Commercial (retail and B2B sales of oil, gas, electric mobility, and power), and Renewables (renewable power generation and new business development). The company also engages in reinsurance activities and is headquartered in Lisbon.

As a large-cap integrated oil and gas company listed in Lisbon, Galps vertically integrated business model spans the full energy value chain - from upstream production to downstream refining, marketing, and renewables - a structure shared with major European peers such as Repsol and ENI. The company has been publicly traded since its 2006 IPO, and its significant upstream footprint in pre-salt Brazil (Mero/Buzios) makes it one of the few Iberian-listed producers with meaningful offshore oil exposure.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Brazil pre-salt production drives upstream cash flow
  • Mozambique LNG project resumes after security review
  • Refining margins swing with Iberian crude differentials
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.5
Net Income: 745.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.0 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.69 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 9.23% < 20% (prev 11.40%; Δ -2.17% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 813.0m > Net Income 745.0m
Net Debt (-652.0m) to EBITDA (2.36b): -0.28 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.39 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (806.1m) vs 12m ago 7.44% < -2%
Gross Margin: 13.16% > 18% (prev 12.80%; Δ 0.36% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 121.5% > 50% (prev 131.3%; Δ -9.75% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 15.95 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.36b / Interest Expense TTM 148.0m)
Altman Z'' 2.70
A: 0.11 (Total Current Assets 6.36b - Total Current Liabilities 4.56b) / Total Assets 15.8b
B: 0.17 (Retained Earnings 2.67b / Total Assets 15.8b)
C: 0.15 (EBIT TTM 2.36b / Avg Total Assets 16.0b)
D: 0.39 (Book Value of Equity 4.16b / Total Liabilities 10.8b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.70 = A
Beneish M -2.90
DSRI: 1.22 (Receivables 1.62b/1.46b, Revenue 19.4b/21.3b)
GMI: 0.97 (GM 12.80% / 13.16%)
AQI: 1.06 (AQ_t 0.12 / AQ_t-1 0.12)
SGI: 0.91 (Revenue 19.4b / 21.3b)
TATA: -0.00 (NI 745.0m - CFO 813.0m) / TA 15.8b)
Beneish M = -2.90 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of GALP shares?

As of July 29, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 19.38 with a total of 2,815,448 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.44%, over one month by +4.81%, over three months by +2.11% and over the past year by +18.99%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 18.00 (which is 7.1% or 2.8 ATR below the current price).

Is GALP a buy, sell or hold?

Galp Energia SGPS S.A. has no consensus analysts rating.

Galp Energia SGPS S.A. (GALP) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 28 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 18.4b (16.1b EUR * 1.141 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 19.4466
P/E Forward = 9.3633
P/S = 0.8181
P/B = 3.8851
P/EG = 0.952
Revenue TTM = 19.4b EUR
EBIT TTM = 2.36b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 2.36b EUR
Long Term Debt = 2.69b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 489.0m EUR (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.18b EUR (Leases only: 1.18b)
Net Debt = -652.0m EUR (calculated: Debt 1.18b - CCE 1.83b)
Enterprise Value = 15.5b EUR (16.1b + Debt 1.18b - CCE 1.83b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 15.95 (Ebit TTM 2.36b / Interest Expense TTM 148.0m)
 EV/FCF = unknown (FCF TTM 0.0)
 FCF Yield = 0.0% (FCF TTM 0.0 / Enterprise Value 15.5b)
FCF Margin = 0.0% (FCF TTM 0.0 / Revenue TTM 19.4b)
Net Margin = 3.83% (Net Income TTM 745.0m / Revenue TTM 19.4b)
Gross Margin = 13.16% ((Revenue TTM 19.4b - Cost of Revenue TTM 16.9b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 15.55% (prev 12.06%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.98 (Enterprise Value 15.5b / Total Assets 15.8b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 12.53% (Interest Expense 148.0m / Debt 1.18b)
Taxrate = 38.24% (688.0m / 1.80b)
NOPAT = 1.46b (EBIT 2.36b * (1 - 38.24%))
Current Ratio = 1.39 (Total Current Assets 6.36b / Total Current Liabilities 4.56b)
Debt / Equity = 0.28 (Debt 1.18b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.16b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.28 (Net Debt -652.0m / EBITDA 2.36b)
 Debt / FCF = unknown (Net Debt -652.0m / FCF TTM 0.0)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 4.42b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.66% (Net Income 745.0m / Total Assets 15.8b)
RoE = 16.86% (Net Income TTM 745.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.42b)
RoCE = 33.20% (EBIT 2.36b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.42b + L.T.Debt 2.69b))
RoIC = 14.26% (NOPAT 1.46b / Invested Capital 10.2b)
WACC = 6.76% (E(16.1b)/V(17.3b) * Re(6.69%) + D(1.18b)/V(17.3b) * Rd(12.53%) * (1-Tc(0.38)))
Discount Rate = 6.69% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -85.37 | Cagr: -3.07%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow 0.0)
 EPS Correlation: 45.47 | EPS CAGR: 6.62% | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -82.18 | Revenue CAGR: -7.57% | SUE: -1.17 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.49 | Chg30d=-8.54% | Revisions=-29% | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.95 | Chg30d=+1.58% | Revisions=-8% | GrowthEPS=+28.9% | GrowthRev=+32.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.77 | Chg30d=-0.30% | Revisions=+8% | GrowthEPS=-9.3% | GrowthRev=-11.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -8% (up=10, down=12)