VALMT Stock Analysis: Valmet | HE
Specialty Industrial Machinery | HE, Finland | Market Cap: 4.061m EUR | 12M Return: -10.1% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 9.92M
EPS Trend: -94.8%
Qual. Beats: -2
Rev. Trend: -93.4%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Valmet Oyj is a Finnish industrial technology company that supplies process technologies, automation systems, and lifecycle services to the pulp, paper, packaging, tissue, bioenergy, and broader process industries. It reports through two segments: Process Performance Solutions (flow control, valves, pumps, automation, and digital/IIoT offerings) and Biomaterial Solutions and Services (complete production lines, process islands, rebuilds, and aftermarket services).
The business model is a hybrid of project-based capital equipment deliveries and a recurring aftermarket and services stream covering rebuilds, upgrades, conversions, maintenance, remote monitoring, and predictive maintenance. Industrial OEMs in this sector typically derive a meaningful share of revenue from parts and services over the multi-decade operating life of installed equipment, which supports more stable cash flow than new-build sales alone.
Valmet is headquartered in Espoo, Finland, and traces its origins to 1750. It operates across North America, Latin America, EMEA, China, and Asia-Pacific, and is classified as a mid-cap Industrials stock (GICS Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components). Finland is a notable global hub for pulp and paper machinery, hosting several leading process technology suppliers.
- China pulp and paper equipment orders remain subdued amid weak Asian demand
- Services and automation revenue growth supports margin expansion
- Energy transition drives bioenergy and circularity capex demand
| Net Income: 253.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.39 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 7.89% < 20% (prev 5.40%; Δ 2.49% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 398.0m > Net Income 253.0m |
| Net Debt (1.06b) to EBITDA (607.0m): 1.75 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.17 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (184.2m) vs 12m ago 0.05% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 25.58% > 18% (prev 27.52%; Δ -1.93% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 77.76% > 50% (prev 77.65%; Δ 0.11% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 6.78 > 6 (EBIT TTM 400.0m / Interest Expense TTM 59.0m) |
| A: 0.06 (Total Current Assets 2.89b - Total Current Liabilities 2.48b) / Total Assets 6.66b |
| B: 0.14 (Retained Earnings 961.0m / Total Assets 6.66b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 400.0m / Avg Total Assets 6.76b) |
| D: 0.57 (Book Value of Equity 2.41b / Total Liabilities 4.24b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.87 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.08 (Receivables 1.11b/1.04b, Revenue 5.26b/5.33b) |
| GMI: 1.08 (GM 27.52% / 25.58%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.46 / AQ_t-1 0.46) |
| SGI: 0.99 (Revenue 5.26b / 5.33b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 253.0m - CFO 398.0m) / TA 6.66b) |
| Beneish M = -2.91 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 28, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 26.70 with a total of 763,520 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +20.71%, over one month by +27.14%, over three months by +10.60% and over the past year by -10.08%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 25.50 (which is 4.5% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Valmet has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 15.971
P/S = 0.7724
P/B = 1.7183
Revenue TTM = 5.26b EUR
EBIT TTM = 400.0m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 607.0m EUR
Long Term Debt = 1.23b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 122.0m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.66b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 178.0m
Net Debt = 1.06b EUR (calculated: Debt 1.66b - CCE 597.0m)
Enterprise Value = 5.12b EUR (4.06b + Debt 1.66b - CCE 597.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.78 (Ebit TTM 400.0m / Interest Expense TTM 59.0m)
EV/FCF = 17.48x (Enterprise Value 5.12b / FCF TTM 293.0m)
FCF Yield = 5.72% (FCF TTM 293.0m / Enterprise Value 5.12b)
FCF Margin = 5.57% (FCF TTM 293.0m / Revenue TTM 5.26b)
Net Margin = 4.81% (Net Income TTM 253.0m / Revenue TTM 5.26b)
Gross Margin = 25.58% ((Revenue TTM 5.26b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.91b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 24.92% (prev 24.17%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.77 (Enterprise Value 5.12b / Total Assets 6.66b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.56% (Interest Expense 59.0m / Debt 1.66b)
Taxrate = 27.09% (94.0m / 347.0m)
NOPAT = 291.6m (EBIT 400.0m * (1 - 27.09%))
Current Ratio = 1.17 (Total Current Assets 2.89b / Total Current Liabilities 2.48b)
Debt / Equity = 0.69 (Debt 1.66b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.41b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.75 (Net Debt 1.06b / EBITDA 607.0m)
Debt / FCF = 3.62 (Net Debt 1.06b / FCF TTM 293.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.46b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.74% (Net Income 253.0m / Total Assets 6.66b)
RoE = 10.30% (Net Income TTM 253.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.46b)
RoCE = 10.86% (EBIT 400.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.46b + L.T.Debt 1.23b))
RoIC = 7.22% (NOPAT 291.6m / Invested Capital 4.04b)
WACC = 6.85% (E(4.06b)/V(5.72b) * Re(8.58%) + D(1.66b)/V(5.72b) * Rd(3.56%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 8.58% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 12.79 | Cagr: 0.02%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈389.8m ; Y1≈341.8m ; Y5≈276.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 18.31 (EV 4.43b - Net Debt 1.06b = Equity 3.37b / Shares 184.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -94.81 | EPS CAGR: -10.90% | SUE: -1.57 | # QB: -2
Revenue Correlation: -93.39 | Revenue CAGR: -2.46% | SUE: 3.25 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.48 | Chg30d=-2.43% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=5
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.56 | Chg30d=-0.45% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.98 | Chg30d=+1.38% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+8.9% | GrowthRev=+1.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.15 | Chg30d=+2.75% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+8.5% | GrowthRev=+0.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -57% (up=0, down=4)