AGS Stock Analysis: ageas SA/NV | BR

Insurance - Diversified | BR, Belgium | Market Cap: 15.138m EUR | 12M Return: 29.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Life Insurance, Property Insurance, Casualty Insurance, Pension Funds
Total Rating 56
Safety 54
Buy Signal 0.13
Insurance - Diversified
Industry Rotation: -0.1
Market Cap: 17.3B
Avg Turnover: 15.8M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility16.2%
VaR 5th Pctl2.83%
VaR vs Median6.27%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.30
Rel. Str. IBD75
Rel. Str. Peer Group71.1
Character TTM
Beta0.263
Beta Downside-0.015
Hurst Exponent0.591
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD13.29%
CAGR/Max DD2.55
CAGR/Mean DD11.61
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of AGS over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.59, "2021-09": 0.86, "2021-12": 1.49, "2022-03": 1.14, "2022-06": 1.33, "2022-09": 0.61, "2022-12": 1.65, "2023-03": 1.44, "2023-06": 1.4445, "2023-09": 0, "2023-12": 1.1477, "2024-03": 0, "2024-06": 1.7446, "2024-09": 0, "2024-12": null, "2025-03": 2.6, "2025-06": 3.65, "2025-09": 0, "2025-12": null,
EPS CAGR: 3.52%
EPS Trend: 9.6%
Last SUE: -1.32
Qual. Beats: -1
Revenue Revenue of AGS over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 2974.7, 2021-09: 2871.8, 2021-12: 3397.7, 2022-03: 1808.1, 2022-06: 1348.9, 2022-09: 2084.8, 2022-12: 3603.2, 2023-03: 2111, 2023-06: 2111, 2023-09: 1653.5, 2023-12: 1653.5, 2024-03: 2156, 2024-06: 2156, 2024-09: 2099.5, 2024-12: 2099.5, 2025-03: 2205.5, 2025-06: 2205.5, 2025-09: 2509, 2025-12: 2509,
Rev. CAGR: -0.19%
Rev. Trend: -1.9%
Last SUE: -0.57
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan +2.1% 15
Feb +0.6% 2
Mar -0.9% 11
Apr +0.3% 16
May -0.2% 0
Jun -1.3% 0
Jul +2.7% 50
Aug -2.4% 39
Sep +1.0% 21
Oct -2.2% 43
Nov +1.6% 9
Dec +0.1% 23

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: AGS ageas SA/NV

Ageas SA/NV is a Belgian insurance group founded in 1824 and headquartered in Brussels. It operates through five reportable segments-Belgium, Europe, Asia, Reinsurance, and General Account-offering life insurance, non-life (property and casualty) coverage, pension products, and reinsurance. Its product portfolio spans individual and group lines, including accident and health, motor, fire, and other property damage on the non-life side, alongside life and pension solutions. The company serves private individuals as well as small, medium-sized, and large corporate clients, distributing products through independent brokers and bank channels. As a multi-line insurer combining life and P&C under one roof, Ageas uses bancassurance partnerships-a common European distribution model in which banks sell insurance products to their customer base-to extend its reach.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Asia minority stakes contribute growing share to net profit
  • Belgian life margins pressured by prolonged low rate environment
  • Shareholder returns sustained through dividends and buybacks
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.5
Net Income: 1.71b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.72 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -38.25% < 20% (prev -747.1%; Δ 708.9% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.03 > 3% & CFO 2.90b > Net Income 1.71b
Net Debt (-54.3b) to EBITDA (9.67b): -5.61 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.95 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (191.1m) vs 12m ago 4.34% < -2%
Gross Margin: 87.97% > 18% (prev 87.64%; Δ 0.33% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 9.18% > 50% (prev 8.64%; Δ 0.53% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 32.34 > 6 (EBIT TTM 9.31b / Interest Expense TTM 288.0m)
Altman Z'' 0.55
A: -0.03 (Total Current Assets 64.5b - Total Current Liabilities 68.2b) / Total Assets 107b
B: 0.02 (Retained Earnings 1.75b / Total Assets 107b)
C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 9.31b / Avg Total Assets 103b)
D: 0.10 (Book Value of Equity 9.44b / Total Liabilities 95.6b)
Altman-Z'' = 0.55 = B
Beneish M -3.35
DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 2.29b/2.14b, Revenue 9.43b/8.51b)
GMI: 1.00 (GM 87.64% / 87.97%)
AQI: 0.39 (AQ_t 0.37 / AQ_t-1 0.95)
SGI: 1.11 (Revenue 9.43b / 8.51b)
TATA: -0.01 (NI 1.71b - CFO 2.90b) / TA 107b)
Beneish M = -3.35 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of AGS shares?

As of July 28, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 71.40 with a total of 127,171 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.42%, over one month by +3.40%, over three months by +9.42% and over the past year by +29.80%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 68.50 (which is 4.1% or 2.8 ATR below the current price).

Is AGS a buy, sell or hold?

ageas SA/NV has no consensus analysts rating.

ageas SA/NV (AGS) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 21 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 17.3b (15.1b EUR * 1.141 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 7.9593
P/E Forward = 7.6746
P/S = 1.6054
P/B = 1.6034
P/EG = 6.3936
Revenue TTM = 9.43b EUR
EBIT TTM = 9.31b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 9.67b EUR
Long Term Debt = 6.28b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
 Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
 Debt = 7.98b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 849.0m
Net Debt = -54.3b EUR (calculated: Debt 7.98b - CCE 62.3b)
Enterprise Value = 15.1b EUR (floored to Market Cap, CCE > MCap+Debt)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 32.34 (Ebit TTM 9.31b / Interest Expense TTM 288.0m)
EV/FCF = 5.58x (Enterprise Value 15.1b / FCF TTM 2.71b)
FCF Yield = 17.91% (FCF TTM 2.71b / Enterprise Value 15.1b)
FCF Margin = 28.75% (FCF TTM 2.71b / Revenue TTM 9.43b)
Net Margin = 18.16% (Net Income TTM 1.71b / Revenue TTM 9.43b)
Gross Margin = 87.97% ((Revenue TTM 9.43b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.13b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.14 (Enterprise Value 15.1b / Total Assets 107b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.61% (Interest Expense 288.0m / Debt 7.98b)
Taxrate = 12.06% (262.0m / 2.17b)
NOPAT = 8.19b (EBIT 9.31b * (1 - 12.06%))
Current Ratio = 0.95 (Total Current Assets 64.5b / Total Current Liabilities 68.2b)
Debt / Equity = 0.84 (Debt 7.98b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.44b)
Debt / EBITDA = -5.61 (Net Debt -54.3b / EBITDA 9.67b)
Debt / FCF = -20.02 (Net Debt -54.3b / FCF TTM 2.71b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.76b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.67% (Net Income 1.71b / Total Assets 107b)
RoE = 19.55% (Net Income TTM 1.71b / Total Stockholder Equity 8.76b)
RoCE = 61.95% (EBIT 9.31b / Capital Employed (Equity 8.76b + L.T.Debt 6.28b))
RoIC = 21.30% (NOPAT 8.19b / Invested Capital 38.5b)
WACC = 5.62% (E(15.1b)/V(23.1b) * Re(6.91%) + D(7.98b)/V(23.1b) * Rd(3.61%) * (1-Tc(0.12)))
Discount Rate = 6.91% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 77.11 | Cagr: 1.74%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈1.95b ; Y1≈2.23b ; Y5≈3.29b
[DCF] Fair Price = 495.7 (EV 49.4b - Net Debt -54.3b = Equity 104b / Shares 209.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 9.56 | EPS CAGR: 3.52% | SUE: -1.32 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: -1.86 | Revenue CAGR: -0.19% | SUE: -0.57 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2025-12-31): EPS=8.29 | Chg30d=+18.38% | Revisions=+62% | GrowthEPS=+22.3% | GrowthRev=-37.4%
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.60 | Chg30d=+0.68% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=-13.7% | GrowthRev=-37.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +50% (up=6, down=1)