VLK Stock Analysis: Van Lanschot | AS

Banks - Regional | AS, Netherlands | Market Cap: 2.930m EUR | 12M Return: 42.1% | NL0000302636 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Private Banking, Wealth Management, Investment Banking, Asset Management
Total Rating 43
Safety 38
Buy Signal 0.57
Banks - Regional
Industry Rotation: +6.1
Market Cap: 3.33B
Avg Turnover: 3.54M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility26.6%
VaR 5th Pctl4.22%
VaR vs Median-3.51%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.40
Rel. Str. IBD76.4
Rel. Str. Peer Group76.3
Character TTM
Beta0.480
Beta Downside0.043
Hurst Exponent0.429
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD18.32%
CAGR/Max DD2.77
CAGR/Mean DD11.15

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan -0.2% 7
Feb -0.4% 23
Mar +0.1% 7
Apr +5.1% 33
May -0.5% 2
Jun -0.4% 28
Jul -1.9% 32
Aug +1.0% 2
Sep -2.5% 18
Oct -1.9% 17
Nov +1.1% 11
Dec +0.8% 14

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: VLK Van Lanschot

Van Lanschot Kempen NV is a Dutch financial services group founded in 1737 and headquartered in s-Hertogenbosch, operating across the Netherlands, Belgium, and internationally through four segments: Private Clients Netherlands, Private Clients Belgium, Investment Management Clients, and Investment Banking Clients. The company serves entrepreneurs, family businesses, high-net-worth individuals, executives, foundations, and institutional clients such as pension funds, offering private banking, wealth management, an online investment platform, and owned funds-related services. Its specialist activities include equities research and trading, M&A advisory, equity capital market transactions, and debt advisory for corporate and institutional investors, supported by risk management and structured products operations. Listed on Euronext Amsterdam as a mid-cap stock, Van Lanschot Kempen is positioned within the regional banks sub-industry of the financials sector, reflecting its core focus on wealth and private banking rather than mass-market retail lending.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Net interest margins pressured by ECB rate cuts
  • Investment management fees track equity market performance
  • M&A advisory revenue rebounds with deal market recovery
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 3.0
Net Income: 177.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.12 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -913.6% < 20% (prev -1.46k%; Δ 546.0% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.03 > 3% & CFO 469.8m > Net Income 177.7m
Net Debt (855.3m) to EBITDA (195.7m): 4.37 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.13 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (42.7m) vs 12m ago 0.78% < -2%
Gross Margin: 64.42% > 18% (prev 33.08%; Δ 31.34% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 7.40% > 50% (prev 4.43%; Δ 2.96% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.31 > 6 (EBIT TTM 138.9m / Interest Expense TTM 444.1m)
Altman Z'' -4.17
A: -0.66 (Total Current Assets 1.78b - Total Current Liabilities 13.2b) / Total Assets 17.4b
B: 0.00 (Retained Earnings 83.7m / Total Assets 17.4b)
C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 138.9m / Avg Total Assets 17.0b)
D: 0.08 (Book Value of Equity 1.30b / Total Liabilities 16.1b)
Altman-Z'' = -4.17 = D
Beneish M -3.70
DSRI: 0.10 (Receivables 290k/155.3m, Revenue 1.25b/733.8m)
GMI: 0.51 (GM 33.08% / 64.42%)
AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.89 / AQ_t-1 0.89)
SGI: 1.71 (Revenue 1.25b / 733.8m)
TATA: -0.02 (NI 177.7m - CFO 469.8m) / TA 17.4b)
Beneish M = -3.70 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA
What is the price of VLK shares?

As of September 27, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 67.25 with a total of 39,483 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.10%, over one month by +2.91%, over three months by +0.52% and over the past year by +42.13%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 65.70 (which is 2.3% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is VLK a buy, sell or hold?

Van Lanschot has no consensus analysts rating.

Van Lanschot (VLK) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 20 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 3.33b (2.93b EUR * 1.1374752521515 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 17.6142
P/E Forward = 13.986
P/S = 3.6412
P/B = 2.251
P/EG = 0.3074
Revenue TTM = 1.25b EUR
EBIT TTM = 138.9m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 195.7m EUR
 Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
 Short Term Debt = 566.0m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 2.63b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 855.3m EUR (calculated: Debt 2.63b - CCE 1.78b)
Enterprise Value = 3.79b EUR (2.93b + Debt 2.63b - CCE 1.78b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.31 (Ebit TTM 138.9m / Interest Expense TTM 444.1m)
EV/FCF = 8.74x (Enterprise Value 3.79b / FCF TTM 432.9m)
FCF Yield = 11.44% (FCF TTM 432.9m / Enterprise Value 3.79b)
FCF Margin = 34.52% (FCF TTM 432.9m / Revenue TTM 1.25b)
Net Margin = 14.17% (Net Income TTM 177.7m / Revenue TTM 1.25b)
Gross Margin = 64.42% ((Revenue TTM 1.25b - Cost of Revenue TTM 446.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 66.78% (prev 62.11%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.22 (Enterprise Value 3.79b / Total Assets 17.4b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 16.87% (Interest Expense 444.1m / Debt 2.63b)
Taxrate = 27.96% (64.6m / 230.8m)
NOPAT = 100.0m (EBIT 138.9m * (1 - 27.96%))
Current Ratio = 0.13 (Total Current Assets 1.78b / Total Current Liabilities 13.2b)
Debt / Equity = 2.02 (Debt 2.63b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.30b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.37 (Net Debt 855.3m / EBITDA 195.7m)
Debt / FCF = 1.98 (Net Debt 855.3m / FCF TTM 432.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.31b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.05% (Net Income 177.7m / Total Assets 17.4b)
RoE = 13.58% (Net Income TTM 177.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.31b)
RoCE = 3.36% (EBIT 138.9m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 17.4b - Current Liab 13.2b))
RoIC = 2.16% (NOPAT 100.0m / Invested Capital 4.63b)
WACC = 9.79% (E(2.93b)/V(5.56b) * Re(7.67%) + D(2.63b)/V(5.56b) * Rd(16.87%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 7.67% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 2.19 | Cagr: -1.54%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.45% ; FCFF base≈284.7m ; Y1≈326.3m ; Y5≈480.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 116.2 (EV 5.76b - Net Debt 855.3m = Equity 4.91b / Shares 42.2m; r=9.79% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 95.73 | Revenue CAGR: 37.29% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.54 | Chg30d=+6.31% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+16.4% | GrowthRev=+13.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.81 | Chg30d=+7.62% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+5.9% | GrowthRev=+6.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +67% (up=6, down=0)