THEON Stock Analysis: Theon International | AS

Aerospace & Defense | AS, Netherlands | Market Cap: 2.453m EUR | 12M Return: -2.8% | CY0200751713 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Night Vision, Thermal Imaging, Electro-Optics, Surveillance
Total Rating 42
Safety 29
Buy Signal -0.76
Aerospace & Defense
Industry Rotation: -1.8
Market Cap: 2.79B
Avg Turnover: 3.05M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility38.7%
VaR 5th Pctl6.48%
VaR vs Median1.69%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.07
Rel. Str. IBD42.1
Rel. Str. Peer Group60.4
Character TTM
Beta0.124
Beta Downside-0.466
Hurst Exponent0.444
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD36.80%
CAGR/Max DD1.49
CAGR/Mean DD4.12
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of THEON over the last years for every Quarter: "2022-06": null, "2022-09": null, "2022-12": null, "2023-03": null, "2023-06": null, "2023-09": null, "2023-12": 0, "2024-03": 0.1803, "2024-06": 0.2246, "2024-09": 0.1467, "2024-12": null, "2025-03": 0.25, "2025-06": 0.24, "2025-09": 0.22, "2025-12": 0.5136, "2026-03": 0.51, "2026-06": 0.29,
Last SUE: 0.19
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of THEON over the last years for every Quarter: 2022-06: 38.880996, 2022-09: 32.055459, 2022-12: 108.505183, 2023-03: 27.090722, 2023-06: 31.359525, 2023-09: 57.308532, 2023-12: 102.964125, 2024-03: 75.783943, 2024-06: 76.613567, 2024-09: 70.212379, 2024-12: 129.75413, 2025-03: 90.826563, 2025-06: 92.91224, 2025-09: 95.53259, 2025-12: 164.144959, 2026-03: 120.101074, 2026-06: 128.639019,
Rev. CAGR: 34.81%
Rev. Trend: 98.1%
Last SUE: 0.05
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Beneish M-Score Likely Earnings Manipulation
Choppy
Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 2.6 years of data

Jan +9.4% -
Feb +9.6% 0
Mar +15.7% 29
Apr +0.1% 0
May +14.1% 33
Jun -12.0% 38
Jul -5.8% 0
Aug -7.7% 30
Sep +13.5% -
Oct -18.2% -
Nov -24.0% -
Dec +0.5% -

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: THEON Theon International

Theon International Plc is a Cyprus-headquartered designer and manufacturer of electro-optical systems for defense and security customers in Europe and international markets. Founded in 1997 and majority-owned by Venetus Limited, the company produces a broad product portfolio spanning night vision devices, thermal imaging systems, fused and augmented reality optics, weapon sights, clip-on systems, binoculars, and platform-based imaging solutions for military vehicles and platforms.

Beyond core hardware, Theon supplies ISR (intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance) optronics, border and coastal surveillance electro-optical systems, vehicle driver viewers, and a recurring aftermarket business covering spare parts, refurbishment, and warranty and maintenance services. The mix of custom-built equipment and lifecycle support reflects a business model common in the defense electro-optics subsector, where programs are typically sold to government and military end-users and supplemented by long-tail service revenue.

The company operates within the Aerospace & Defense industry, a sector characterized by government procurement cycles and growing European demand for sovereign optronics capabilities driven by broader NATO modernization and battlefield awareness requirements.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • European defense budgets surge on NATO commitments
  • Night vision and thermal imaging order backlog expands
  • New multi-year defense contracts boost revenue visibility
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.0
Net Income: 121.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -8.66 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 55.55% < 20% (prev 64.04%; Δ -8.50% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 49.1m > Net Income 121.0m
Net Debt (217.7m) to EBITDA (122.5m): 1.78 < 3
Current Ratio: 3.00 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (77.6m) vs 12m ago 11.42% < -2%
Gross Margin: 33.82% > 18% (prev 31.98%; Δ 1.84% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 75.44% > 50% (prev 90.38%; Δ -14.94% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 6.16 > 6 (EBIT TTM 118.5m / Interest Expense TTM 19.2m)
Altman Z'' 5.02
A: 0.31 (Total Current Assets 423.9m - Total Current Liabilities 141.4m) / Total Assets 923.3m
B: 0.25 (Retained Earnings 230.3m / Total Assets 923.3m)
C: 0.18 (EBIT TTM 118.5m / Avg Total Assets 673.9m)
D: 0.97 (Book Value of Equity 447.6m / Total Liabilities 463.0m)
Altman-Z'' = 5.02 = AAA
Beneish M 0.30
DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 163.0m/114.8m, Revenue 508.4m/383.7m)
GMI: 0.95 (GM 31.98% / 33.82%)
AQI: 6.19 (AQ_t 0.48 / AQ_t-1 0.08)
SGI: 1.33 (Revenue 508.4m / 383.7m)
TATA: 0.08 (NI 121.0m - CFO 49.1m) / TA 923.3m)
Beneish M = 0.30 (Cap -4..+1) = D
What is the price of THEON shares?

As of September 27, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 30.30 with a total of 115,557 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.48%, over one month by -9.93%, over three months by -1.62% and over the past year by -2.76%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 28.90 (which is 4.6% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is THEON a buy, sell or hold?

Theon International has no consensus analysts rating.

Theon International (THEON) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 25 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 2.79b (2.45b EUR * 1.1374752521515 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 19.0482
P/E Forward = 18.315
P/S = 4.8256
P/B = 5.3636
Revenue TTM = 508.4m EUR
EBIT TTM = 118.5m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 122.5m EUR
Long Term Debt = 307.9m EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 22.7m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 339.0m EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 4.66m
Net Debt = 217.7m EUR (calculated: Debt 339.0m - CCE 121.3m)
Enterprise Value = 2.67b EUR (2.45b + Debt 339.0m - CCE 121.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.16 (Ebit TTM 118.5m / Interest Expense TTM 19.2m)
EV/FCF = 71.36x (Enterprise Value 2.67b / FCF TTM 37.4m)
FCF Yield = 1.40% (FCF TTM 37.4m / Enterprise Value 2.67b)
FCF Margin = 7.36% (FCF TTM 37.4m / Revenue TTM 508.4m)
Net Margin = 23.80% (Net Income TTM 121.0m / Revenue TTM 508.4m)
Gross Margin = 33.82% ((Revenue TTM 508.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 336.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 37.87% (prev 32.16%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.89 (Enterprise Value 2.67b / Total Assets 923.3m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.67% (Interest Expense 19.2m / Debt 339.0m)
Taxrate = 19.85% (30.2m / 151.9m)
NOPAT = 94.9m (EBIT 118.5m * (1 - 19.85%))
Current Ratio = 3.00 (Total Current Assets 423.9m / Total Current Liabilities 141.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.76 (Debt 339.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 447.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.78 (Net Debt 217.7m / EBITDA 122.5m)
Debt / FCF = 5.82 (Net Debt 217.7m / FCF TTM 37.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 369.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 17.95% (Net Income 121.0m / Total Assets 923.3m)
RoE = 32.74% (Net Income TTM 121.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 369.6m)
RoCE = 17.49% (EBIT 118.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 369.6m + L.T.Debt 307.9m))
RoIC = 12.19% (NOPAT 94.9m / Invested Capital 779.2m)
WACC = 6.19% (E(2.45b)/V(2.79b) * Re(6.42%) + D(339.0m)/V(2.79b) * Rd(5.67%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 6.42% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 76.92 | Cagr: 4.60%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈44.0m ; Y1≈38.6m ; Y5≈31.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 3.65 (EV 500.9m - Net Debt 217.7m = Equity 283.2m / Shares 77.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.19 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.12 | Revenue CAGR: 34.81% | SUE: 0.05 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.26 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.47 | Chg30d=+0.52% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=+19.2% | GrowthRev=+35.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.75 | Chg30d=+0.50% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=+18.9% | GrowthRev=+23.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +22% (up=4, down=2)