BTG Stock Analysis: B2Gold | AMEX

Gold | AMEX, USA | Market Cap: 7.028m USD | 12M Return: 14.9% | CA11777Q2099 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Gold, Silver, Copper, Exploration
Total Rating 63
Safety 65
Buy Signal 0.08
Gold
Industry Rotation: -39.8
Market Cap: 7.03B
Avg Turnover: 134M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility52.2%
VaR 5th Pctl9.21%
VaR vs Median7.13%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.46
Rel. Str. IBD84
Rel. Str. Peer Group80.5
Character TTM
Beta0.939
Beta Downside0.979
Hurst Exponent0.525
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD40.70%
CAGR/Max DD0.70
CAGR/Mean DD1.82
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of BTG over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.12, "2021-12": 0.11, "2022-03": 0.06, "2022-06": 0.04, "2022-09": 0.03, "2022-12": 0.11, "2023-03": 0.1, "2023-06": 0.07, "2023-09": 0.05, "2023-12": 0.07, "2024-03": 0.06, "2024-06": 0.06, "2024-09": 0.02, "2024-12": 0.01, "2025-03": 0.09, "2025-06": 0.12, "2025-09": 0.14, "2025-12": 0.11, "2026-03": 0.19, "2026-06": 0.03,
EPS CAGR: 26.29%
EPS Trend: 52.0%
Last SUE: -0.81
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of BTG over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 510.859, 2021-12: 526.113, 2022-03: 365.583, 2022-06: 381.985, 2022-09: 392.554, 2022-12: 592.468, 2023-03: 473.556, 2023-06: 470.854, 2023-09: 477.888, 2023-12: 511.974, 2024-03: 461.444, 2024-06: 492.569, 2024-09: 448.229, 2024-12: 499.788, 2025-03: 532.107, 2025-06: 692.206, 2025-09: 782.948, 2025-12: 1053.977, 2026-03: 1142.605623, 2026-06: 769.30946,
Rev. CAGR: 27.81%
Rev. Trend: 84.7%
Last SUE: 0.37
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Idiosyncratic Leader

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +0.5% 7
Feb -0.2% 5
Mar +0.4% 10
Apr +1.2% 5
May +0.3% 7
Jun -2.1% 20
Jul +1.3% 5
Aug -4.6% 20
Sep +1.3% 13
Oct +4.3% 29
Nov -1.1% 2
Dec +2.4% 11

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: BTG B2Gold

B2Gold Corp. is a Canada-based gold producer operating four mines across Mali, the Philippines, Namibia, and Canada, along with the Gramalote gold project in Colombia, where it holds a 100% interest. Incorporated in 2006 and headquartered in Vancouver, the company also maintains a portfolio of evaluation and exploration assets in Mali, Canada, and Finland. As a mid-cap player in the Materials sector, B2Gold operates primarily under a traditional mining business model, generating revenue from gold extraction and sale, while supplementing production with exploration-stage projects that support long-term reserve growth. Geographically diversified production across multiple jurisdictions helps the company manage country-specific operational and political risks common in the gold mining industry.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Gold price rally lifts all-in sustaining cost margins across mines
  • Fekola Mine production growth in Mali offsets security risk premium
  • Goose Mine ramp-up in Canada adds new low-cost ounces
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 8.0
Net Income: 793.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 9.27 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 10.79% < 20% (prev -0.88%; Δ 11.67% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.16 > 3% & CFO 897.8m > Net Income 793.8m
Net Debt (215.2m) to EBITDA (1.90b): 0.11 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.58 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.49b) vs 12m ago 0.87% < -2%
Gross Margin: 49.17% > 18% (prev 41.34%; Δ 7.83% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 67.86% > 50% (prev 40.94%; Δ 26.92% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 22.75 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.37b / Interest Expense TTM 60.3m)
Altman Z'' 4.67
A: 0.07 (Total Current Assets 1.10b - Total Current Liabilities 696.0m) / Total Assets 5.74b
B: 0.05 (Retained Earnings 264.9m / Total Assets 5.74b)
C: 0.25 (EBIT TTM 1.37b / Avg Total Assets 5.52b)
D: 2.28 (Book Value of Equity 3.97b / Total Liabilities 1.74b)
Altman-Z'' = 4.67 = AA
Beneish M -2.70
DSRI: 0.90 (Receivables 83.8m/54.0m, Revenue 3.75b/2.17b)
GMI: 0.84 (GM 41.34% / 49.17%)
AQI: 1.06 (AQ_t 0.15 / AQ_t-1 0.14)
SGI: 1.73 (Revenue 3.75b / 2.17b)
TATA: -0.02 (NI 793.8m - CFO 897.8m) / TA 5.74b)
Beneish M = -2.70 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of BTG shares?

As of September 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 5.48 with a total of 19,075,298 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.18%, over one month by -6.31%, over three months by +38.89% and over the past year by +14.90%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 4.90 (which is 10.6% or 2.5 ATR below the current price).

Is BTG a buy, sell or hold?

B2Gold has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.67. Therefore, it is recommended to hold BTG.

  • StrongBuy: 2
  • Buy: 5
  • Hold: 4
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the BTG price?
Analysts Target Price 6.5 17.7%
B2Gold (BTG) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 26 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 7.03b (7.03b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 9.5
P/E Forward = 5.4318
P/S = 1.8569
P/B = 1.8559
P/EG = 4.71
Revenue TTM = 3.75b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.37b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.90b USD
Long Term Debt = 393.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 32.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 504.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 49.4m
Net Debt = 215.2m USD (calculated: Debt 504.9m - CCE 289.7m)
Enterprise Value = 7.24b USD (7.03b + Debt 504.9m - CCE 289.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 22.75 (Ebit TTM 1.37b / Interest Expense TTM 60.3m)
EV/FCF = 42.73x (Enterprise Value 7.24b / FCF TTM 169.5m)
FCF Yield = 2.34% (FCF TTM 169.5m / Enterprise Value 7.24b)
FCF Margin = 4.52% (FCF TTM 169.5m / Revenue TTM 3.75b)
Net Margin = 21.17% (Net Income TTM 793.8m / Revenue TTM 3.75b)
Gross Margin = 49.17% ((Revenue TTM 3.75b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.91b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 39.06% (prev 52.63%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.26 (Enterprise Value 7.24b / Total Assets 5.74b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 11.94% (Interest Expense 60.3m / Debt 504.9m)
Taxrate = 33.09% (202.2m / 611.2m)
NOPAT = 917.5m (EBIT 1.37b * (1 - 33.09%))
Current Ratio = 1.58 (Total Current Assets 1.10b / Total Current Liabilities 696.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.13 (Debt 504.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.97b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.11 (Net Debt 215.2m / EBITDA 1.90b)
Debt / FCF = 1.27 (Net Debt 215.2m / FCF TTM 169.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.64b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 14.37% (Net Income 793.8m / Total Assets 5.74b)
RoE = 21.81% (Net Income TTM 793.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.64b)
RoCE = 34.00% (EBIT 1.37b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.64b + L.T.Debt 393.6m))
RoIC = 18.76% (NOPAT 917.5m / Invested Capital 4.89b)
WACC = 9.20% (E(7.03b)/V(7.53b) * Re(9.29%) + D(504.9m)/V(7.53b) * Rd(11.94%) * (1-Tc(0.33)))
Discount Rate = 9.29% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 84.57 | Cagr: 5.97%
[DCF] Terminal Value 72.50% ; FCFF base≈169.5m ; Y1≈170.2m ; Y5≈180.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 1.69 (EV 2.45b - Net Debt 215.2m = Equity 2.23b / Shares 1.32b; r=9.20% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 51.99 | EPS CAGR: 26.29% | SUE: -0.81 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 84.67 | Revenue CAGR: 27.81% | SUE: 0.37 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.15 | Chg30d=+8.68% | Revisions=-62% | Analysts=9
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.52 | Chg30d=-3.20% | Revisions=-62% | GrowthEPS=+13.3% | GrowthRev=+23.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.07 | Chg30d=+1.61% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+106.0% | GrowthRev=+19.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -59% (up=4, down=20)